I’ve noticed that people’s sense of time, including my own, is all messed up.
A comparison: in the US, the number of Cov-19 deaths has gone from about 300 to ~95,000 in two months.
The 1918 flu: First noticed on March 11, Fort Riley. Maybe a few hundred deaths in the spring of 1918. Really took off in September (12,000 deaths) – six months later, not two.
It looks as if covid-19 has a higher R0 than 1918 influenza when allowed to run free, while transportation and movement are considerably faster today than in 1918.
The idea that it must not really be very infectious, since it has only infected ~4% of the US in two months – not very infectious compared to what?